ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING Think
Listen: Trump, Trade Wars, and Tense Politics - How 2025 could unfold. In this podcast, ING's James Knightley, Carsten Brzeski, and James Smith discuss the themes that will shape the economy, inflation and interest rates…
ING Monthly: The global economy is not yet a ‘Better Man’
1 day ago · The global economy is not yet a ‘Better Man’ Carsten Brzeski looks ahead to 2025
Recent developments in the global economy | articles | ING Think
1 day ago · China. Last month’s main developments were centred on the policy outlook. The Politburo meeting and Central Economic Work Conference signalled a “more proactive” fiscal policy with a higher priority placed on stabilising consumption, and the budget deficit target is reportedly set to be raised from 3.5% to 4% of GDP.
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Jan 3, 2025 · ING Global Markets Research. If you are acting in a professional capacity and look for investment research, visit research.ing.com
US maintains growth momentum with warning signs of inflation
2 days ago · This tallies with the non-farm payrolls data that shows 78% of jobs added in the US over the past two years have been in just three sectors – leisure and hospitality, private education and healthcare services and government (predominantly local government) – all traditionally lower paid, more part time and less secure than the median job.
FX Daily: US inflation concerns return | articles | ING Think
2 days ago · USD: Re-strengthening . Markets have been tempted in the past couple of days to believe there is some truth behind the Washington Post’s report – quickly rebuked by Trump – that US tariffs will be only on selected products.We are also looking with interest at the timeline for the US Congress’ plan to pass a three-in-one bill for taxes, border and energy.
ING Global Outlook: ‘Economics, Actually, our 2025 hit list’
Dec 5, 2024 · ING's complete 2025 economic outlook . A new US president, a threatened trade war, political turmoil in Europe’s powerhouses… 2025 is shaping up to be another extraordinary year.
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Rates Spark: Mounting concerns keep up the steepening
Sep 25, 2024 · Mounting macro concerns also keep the EUR steepening dynamic in place. In the eurozone, some of the main macro concerns centre around Germany. Disappointing data over the past two days; Monday’s PMIs and Tuesday’s Ifo, have pushed markets to expect a cut in October as the base case now – close to 16bp was priced as of Tuesday reflecting a greater than 60% implied probability of a cut.
How things can go wrong – or right – for the global economy
Oct 10, 2024 · Two alternative scenarios for the economic outlook. The global economic outlook hinges on whether we’re heading for a US recession, whether China can escape the current cycle of falling property prices and weak sentiment, and whether we see a …